Are you an NFL fan looking to enhance your experience and potentially earn extra money? Betting on the NFL offers excitement and a chance to wager on various aspects of the game. Check out this site for the top online casinos in New Zealand. From winners to player performances, there are different bet types to explore. However, NFL betting can be challenging for newcomers, requiring careful consideration and a responsible approach. In this article, we’ll share five beginner tips to make smarter NFL bets, helping you avoid common mistakes. Let’s get started!
1. Bet with your head, not your heart
One of the most common mistakes that beginners make is betting based on their emotions or biases. For example, you might be tempted to bet on your favourite team or player, regardless of their chances of winning or losing. Or you might bet against a team or player that you dislike, hoping that they will fail.
However, this is not a smart way to bet, as it can lead to losing money and frustration. Instead, you should bet based on facts and logic, such as statistics, trends, and analysis. You should also avoid betting when you are angry, drunk, or stressed, as these can impair your judgment and decision-making.
For example, let us say that you are a fan of the New England Patriots and you want to bet on them to win against the Miami Dolphins. However, before you place your bet, you should consider some factors such as:
• The Patriots have lost their star quarterback Tom Brady to free agency and have not found a suitable replacement yet.
• The Dolphins have improved their roster with some key additions in the offseason and have a promising young quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa.
• The game is played in Miami, where the Patriots have historically struggled to win.
• The Dolphins have won four of their last five games against the Patriots.
Based on these factors, you might realize that betting on the Patriots is not a good idea. Even though they are your favorite team, they are not likely to win this game. Therefore, you should either bet on the Dolphins or avoid betting on this game altogether.
2. Pay attention to where the game is played
Home-field advantage can play a big role in the outcome of a game. Teams tend to perform better when they play at home than when they play away. This is because they are more familiar with the field, the weather, and the crowd. They also have less travel fatigue and stress.
Therefore, you should consider where the game is played when making your bets. For example, you might want to bet on a home team that has a strong record at home or avoid betting on a road team that has a poor record away.
For example, let us say that you want to bet on a game between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, before you place your bet, you should consider some factors such as:
• The game is played in Green Bay, where the weather is cold and snowy.
• The Packers have won 13 of their last 15 home games.
• The Buccaneers have lost six of their last eight road games.
• The Packers have a better defence than the Buccaneers.
Based on these factors, you might realize that betting on the Packers is a good idea. They have a clear advantage over the Buccaneers in terms of home-field advantage. Therefore, you should either bet on the Packers or avoid betting on this game altogether.
3. Know the individual matchups
Another factor that can influence the outcome of a NFL game is how individual players match up against each other. For example, you might want to bet on a team that has a strong quarterback who can exploit a weak secondary or avoid betting on a team that has a weak offensive line that can be dominated by a strong defensive line. You should also consider how injuries, suspensions, and trades can affect the matchups and performance of players.
For example, let us say that you want to bet on a game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens. However, before you place your bet, you should consider some factors such as:
• The Chiefs have the best quarterback in the league in Patrick Mahomes, who can throw deep and accurate passes to his speedy receivers.
• The Ravens have a weak secondary that has allowed the most passing yards and touchdowns in the league.
• The Ravens have the best running back in the league in Lamar Jackson, who can run fast and elusively with his legs.
• The Chiefs have a strong defensive line that can pressure and sack the quarterback.
Based on these factors, you might realize that betting on the Chiefs is a good idea. They have a clear advantage over the Ravens in terms of individual matchups. Therefore, you should either bet on the Chiefs or avoid betting on this game altogether.
4. Check the injury reports
Injuries can have a big impact on a game, so it is important to stay up-to-date on who is playing and who isn’t. You should check the injury reports before making your bets, as they can reveal valuable information about the health and availability of key players. For example, you might want to bet on a team that has a healthy star player who can make a difference in the game or avoid betting on a team that has an injured star player who can’t play or is limited in his abilities.
For example, let us say that you want to bet on a game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Los Angeles Rams. However, before you place your bet, you should check the injury reports and find out that:
• The Seahawks have an injured star wide receiver in DK Metcalf, who is doubtful to play due to a hamstring injury.
• The Rams have an injured star defensive tackle in Aaron Donald, who is questionable to play due to a rib injury.
Based on these injuries, you might realize that betting on this game is risky. Both teams have key players who are either out or questionable to play. Therefore, you should either avoid betting on this game altogether or wait until closer to kick off to see if they are active or not.
5. Take caution with divisional matchups
Divisional games can be unpredictable, so it is important to approach them with caution. Divisional games are games between teams that belong to the same division within their conference. These teams play each other twice every season, so they are more familiar with each other’s strengths and weaknesses. They also tend to have more rivalry and intensity than non-divisional games. Therefore, you should be careful when betting on divisional games, as they can often result in upsets and surprises.
For example, let us say that you want to bet on a game between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons. However, before you place your bet, you should consider some factors such as:
• The Saints are the favourites to win this game, as they have a better record and ranking than the Falcons.
• The Falcons are the underdogs to win this game, as they have a worse record and ranking than the Saints.
• However, this is a divisional game, so anything can happen.
• The Falcons have won three of their last four games against the Saints.
• The Falcons have nothing to lose and everything to gain in this game.
Based on these factors, you might realize that betting on this game is tricky. Even though the Saints are the favourites, they could lose to the Falcons in a divisional upset. Therefore, you should either avoid betting on this game altogether or bet with caution.
Conclusion:
Betting in the NFL can be fun and rewarding if you do it right. By following these five tips, you can improve your chances of winning and enjoying your betting experience. Remember to always bet responsibly and within your means.
Sign-up for a free football pool for your co-workers, family, and/or friends. We have nice selection to choose from with tons of features.
