Featured Articles

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Stop Predicting the Score: Build NFL Picks From Repeatable Signals

An accurate NFL prediction is not a guess at a final score. It is a probability estimate built from repeatable information, then adjusted when the...

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Survivor Pools Are Won by Saving Teams, Not by Picking Winners

Ask anyone in a survivor pool how they make a pick and you will get some version of the same answer. They look at the...

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The Psychology of Office Pools: Why We Trust Gut Picks Over Stats

Every office has one colleague who picks winners with a spreadsheet and another who picks by mascot preference, and the spreadsheet rarely wins more often...

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